Price
$140.09
233,397 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $126.08 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oculus of Olympus (Opal)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 100 | $1,800 2,998,800 BUX | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Magic Wand (Uranium)other · Covert | 1 in 67 | $1,600 2,665,600 BUX | 19.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Musical Flute (Mythril)other · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $599 997,934 BUX | 23.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Bars Of Gold (Metal)other · Classified | 1 in 20 | $567 945,230 BUX | 22.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Bar Of Steel (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 12.5% | $118 196,600 BUX | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Harp (Heliodor)other · Industrial Grade | 17.0% | $40.00 66,640 BUX | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Zinc-Zoned Instrumentother · Mil Spec Grade | 25.0% | $16.50 27,489 BUX | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Crumbs Of Brass (Metal)other · Consumer Grade | 33.0% | $0.27 456 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $140 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 1.0%Covert 1.5%Restricted 5.0%Classified 5.0%Mil Spec Grade 37.5%Industrial Grade 17.0%Consumer Grade 33.0%