Radiant Rays
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$106.25
177,017 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $95.63 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
11.66%
20 openings, odds method
Variance
11.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 20 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lots Of Precious Stones Of Citrine (Quartz)other · Classified | 1 in 200 | $2,836 4,725,000 BUX | 14.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Golden Sunglassesother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 50 | $2,100 3,498,600 BUX | 43.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Astral Amulet (Alexandrite)other · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $450 749,700 BUX | 23.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 13 | $135 224,910 BUX | 10.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| Radiant Rhodium Ring (Rhodium)other · Consumer Grade | 13.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 3.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× |
| Silver-ish Sunhatother · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 1.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| Lots Of Parts of Limestone (Rock)other · Mil Spec Grade | 19.0% | $3.77 6,280 BUX | 0.7% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.05× |
| Silver Sunflowerother · Consumer Grade | 19.0% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 0.6% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.84× |
| Star (Steel)other · Mil Spec Grade | 19.0% | $2.99 4,981 BUX | 0.6% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $106 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 0.5%Exceedingly Rare 2.0%Restricted 5.0%Mil Spec Grade 45.5%Consumer Grade 32.0%Industrial Grade 15.0%best hit —