Black Gold
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$109.76
182,858 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $98.78 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.32%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
9.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lots Of Rocks Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral)other · Classified | 1 in 1,000 | $7,662 12,765,000 BUX | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Precious Stones of Onyx (Gemstone)other · Classified | 1 in 111 | $2,388 3,979,020 BUX | 21.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium)other · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $230 383,180 BUX | 11.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Lots Of Nodules Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral)other · Classified | 1 in 17 | $219 364,302 BUX | 13.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Oracle Orb (Obsidian)other · Restricted | 1 in 12 | $165 274,890 BUX | 14.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium)other · Classified | 39.5% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 17.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| Obelisk (Obsidian)other · Industrial Grade | 40.0% | $34.00 56,644 BUX | 13.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Lots Of Nodules Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral)other · ClassifiedPaper Bag$110182,858 BUX$219364,302 BUX1.99x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $110 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 46.5%Restricted 13.5%Industrial Grade 40.0%best hit —