Price
$121.69
202,736 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $109.52 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
5.52%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
7.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod of Ragnarok (Rhodium)other · Special | 1 in 286 | $3,300 5,497,800 BUX | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Bars Of Electrum (Metal)other · Classified | 1 in 154 | $2,199 3,663,000 BUX | 13.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Miniature Mythril Shield (Mythril)other · Classified | 1 in 20 | $999 1,664,334 BUX | 45.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Lots Of Bars Of Bronze (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 10.0% | $300 500,000 BUX | 27.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Medallion (Bronze)other · Mil Spec Grade | 17.5% | $13.33 22,200 BUX | 2.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| Statuette (Iron)other · Industrial Grade | 20.0% | $6.25 10,413 BUX | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Crumbs Of Bronze (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 23.3% | $0.48 804 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Rusty Nail (Iron)other · Consumer Grade | 23.3% | $0.10 167 BUX | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $122 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.4%Classified 5.7%Mil Spec Grade 50.8%Industrial Grade 20.0%Consumer Grade 23.3%best hit —