Price
$109.34
182,162 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $98.41 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
454.30%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
30.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zirconium Zenith Zigguratother · Special | 1 in 133 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 38.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst)other · Special | 1 in 80 | $3,884 6,470,694 BUX | 49.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Zenith (Zirconium)other · Industrial Grade | 12.5% | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 5.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| Zen Garden (Zirconium)other · Consumer Grade | 14.0% | $28.00 46,648 BUX | 4.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| Piece Of Oak (Wood)other · Consumer Grade | 18.0% | $16.45 27,400 BUX | 3.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| Splinters Of Bamboo (Wood)other · Classified | 25.0% | $0.70 1,170 BUX | 0.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| Plank of wood (Wood)other · Consumer Grade | 28.5% | $0.18 300 BUX | 0.1% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 11 Nov, 22:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $109 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 2.0%Industrial Grade 12.5%Consumer Grade 60.5%Classified 25.0%best hit $3,884 (35.52x)