Whimsical Wonders
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$95.06
158,363 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $85.55 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
146.69%
20 openings, odds method
Variance
111.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 20 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tourmaline Tabletother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 1,250 | $35K 58,310,000 BUX | 32.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor)other · Special | 1 in 34 | $1,000 1,666,000 BUX | 34.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| Titan Totem (Titanium)other · Special | 1 in 15 | $300 499,800 BUX | 22.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× |
| Zen Garden (Zirconium)other · Consumer Grade | 12.0% | $28.00 46,648 BUX | 3.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| Knuckles (Brass)other · Restricted | 13.0% | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 1.8% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| Lots Of Coins Of Iridium (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 15.0% | $8.96 14,925 BUX | 1.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× |
| Soldier Toy (Lead)other · Mil Spec Grade | 15.5% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| Wooden Toy Carother · Industrial Grade | 16.0% | $6.25 10,413 BUX | 1.2% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| Coins Of Osmium (Metal)other · Classified | 19.0% | $2.64 4,400 BUX | 0.6% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 11 Nov, 22:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Lots Of Coins Of Iridium (Metal)other · Mil Spec GradePaper Bag$95.06158,363 BUX$8.9614,925 BUX0.09x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $95.06 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 0.1%Special 9.4%Consumer Grade 12.0%Restricted 13.0%Mil Spec Grade 30.5%Industrial Grade 16.0%Classified 19.0%best hit $1,000 (10.52x)