Woodcraft Wonders
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$83.74
139,508 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $75.36 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
14.04%
29 openings, odds method
Variance
26.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 29 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal From An Alien Planet (Lithium)other · Special | 1 in 200 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 33.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Magic Wand (Uranium)other · Covert | 1 in 40 | $1,600 2,665,600 BUX | 53.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Pieces Of Oak (Wood)other · Consumer Grade | 10.0% | $39.38 65,600 BUX | 5.2% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| Wooden ladderother · Mil Spec Grade | 10.5% | $30.00 49,980 BUX | 4.2% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.64× |
| Wooden Notebookother · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $9.99 16,643 BUX | 2.0% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× |
| Wooden Toy Carother · Industrial Grade | 17.5% | $6.25 10,413 BUX | 1.5% | 10 | 5.1 | 1.97× |
| Scraps Of Bamboo (Wood)other · Classified | 20.0% | $3.21 5,340 BUX | 0.9% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× |
| Plank of wood (Wood)other · Consumer Grade | 24.0% | $0.18 300 BUX | 0.1% | 3 | 7.0 | 0.43× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $83.74 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.5%Covert 2.5%Consumer Grade 34.0%Mil Spec Grade 10.5%Industrial Grade 32.5%Classified 20.0%best hit —