Cyclone Collection
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$70.49
117,437 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $63.44 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.10%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
19.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst)other · Special | 1 in 200 | $3,884 6,470,694 BUX | 30.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Precious Stones of Aquamarine (Gemstone)other · Classified | 1 in 50 | $1,010 1,682,625 BUX | 31.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Lots Of Rocks Of Agate (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 40 | $300 500,000 BUX | 11.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Wire Sculpture (Copper)other · Covert | 1 in 13 | $69.00 114,954 BUX | 8.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Chalice (Cobalt)other · Consumer Grade | 10.0% | $43.00 71,638 BUX | 6.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Fountain (Fluorite)other · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $30.00 49,980 BUX | 7.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| Titanium Teardropother · Restricted | 62.5% | $3.75 6,248 BUX | 3.7% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Lots Of Rocks Of Agate (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec GradePaper Bag$70.49117,437 BUX$300500,000 BUX4.26x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $70.49 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.5%Classified 2.0%Mil Spec Grade 2.5%Covert 7.5%Consumer Grade 10.0%Industrial Grade 15.0%Restricted 62.5%best hit —