Exotic Relics
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$56.67
94,413 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $51.00 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
27.57%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
61.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramid of Power (Palladium)other · Special | 1 in 500 | $8,995 14,985,670 BUX | 35.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Golden Sunglassesother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 125 | $2,100 3,498,600 BUX | 32.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 20 | $135 224,910 BUX | 13.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Pieces Of Oak (Wood)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 17 | $90.04 150,000 BUX | 10.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Silver-ish Sunhatother · Industrial Grade | 11.5% | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 2.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| Wooden Notebookother · Industrial Grade | 13.5% | $9.99 16,643 BUX | 2.6% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| Shard (Sunstone)other · Consumer Grade | 16.5% | $4.50 7,497 BUX | 1.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.52× |
| Silver Sunflowerother · Consumer Grade | 16.5% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 1.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| Plank of wood (Wood)other · Consumer Grade | 30.0% | $0.18 300 BUX | 0.1% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $56.67 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.2%Exceedingly Rare 0.8%Mil Spec Grade 5.0%Consumer Grade 69.0%Industrial Grade 25.0%best hit —