Silver Luminance
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$48.72
81,163 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $43.85 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
19.80%
38 openings, odds method
Variance
25.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 38 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lots Of Coins Of Mithril (Metal)other · Special | 1 in 100 | $2,421 4,033,386 BUX | 55.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Bars Of Silver (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 20 | $240 400,000 BUX | 27.4% | 14 | 1.9 | 7.37× |
| 1oz Silver bullet (Silver)other · Mil Spec Grade | 10.0% | $25.00 41,650 BUX | 5.7% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.58× |
| Silver Serpentother · Mil Spec Grade | 10.0% | $21.00 34,986 BUX | 4.8% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× |
| Sarcophagus (Silver)other · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $13.40 22,324 BUX | 4.6% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× |
| Silver Sunflowerother · Consumer Grade | 17.0% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 1.3% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.24× |
| Lots Of Coins Of Silver (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 17.0% | $2.40 4,000 BUX | 0.9% | 0 | 6.5 | 0.00× |
| Crumbs Of Silver (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 25.0% | $0.24 400 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 9.5 | 0.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $48.72 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 1.0%Mil Spec Grade 67.0%Industrial Grade 15.0%Consumer Grade 17.0%best hit —