Emptiness Isolation
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$36.92
61,508 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $33.23 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oculus of Olympus (Opal)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 1,000 | $1,800 2,998,800 BUX | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Musical Flute (Mythril)other · Restricted | 1 in 250 | $599 997,934 BUX | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Chef's knife (Adamantium)other · Restricted | 1 in 200 | $549 914,634 BUX | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Titan Totem (Titanium)other · Special | 1 in 100 | $300 499,800 BUX | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Origami Swan (Tungsten)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 67 | $220 366,520 BUX | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Oracle Orb (Obsidian)other · Restricted | 1 in 50 | $165 274,890 BUX | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Adamantium Featherother · Consumer Grade | 1 in 40 | $143 238,238 BUX | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Playing Cards (Titanium)other · Covert | 1 in 25 | $98.00 163,268 BUX | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium)other · Classified | 1 in 13 | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Obelisk (Obsidian)other · Industrial Grade | 10.0% | $34.00 56,644 BUX | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Shards Of Onyx (Gemstone)other · Classified | 70.0% | $3.24 5,406 BUX | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 11 Nov, 22:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $36.92 | 90.00% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 1.6%Restricted 2.9%Special 1.0%Consumer Grade 2.5%Covert 4.0%Classified 78.0%Industrial Grade 10.0%