Price
$28.83
48,039 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $25.95 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.01%
30 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 30 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lots Of Slabs Of Marble (Rock)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 100 | $264 440,000 BUX | 10.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| Lots Of Bars Of Cobalt (Metal)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 25 | $150 250,000 BUX | 23.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond)other · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 17.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| Small Nugget (Gold)other · Restricted | 1 in 17 | $47.00 78,302 BUX | 10.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| Bar Of Steel (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 11 | $41.48 69,100 BUX | 14.4% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| Clarity Cube (Cobalt)other · Industrial Grade | 10.0% | $29.00 48,314 BUX | 11.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade | 65.0% | $5.32 8,856 BUX | 13.3% | 21 | 19.5 | 1.08× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $28.83 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMil Spec Grade 10.0%Consumer Grade 69.0%Restricted 11.0%Industrial Grade 10.0%best hit —