Mountain's Peak

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$28.83
48,039 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $25.95 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.01%
30 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
28 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
-0.5%70.3%141.0%

Small sample. 30 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h834.11%±99.1—odds
7d2887.42%±53.0—odds
30d3087.01%±51.2—odds
All3087.01%±51.2—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Lots Of Slabs Of Marble (Rock)other · Mil Spec Grade1 in 100$264 440,000 BUX10.2%10.3—
Lots Of Bars Of Cobalt (Metal)other · Consumer Grade1 in 25$150 250,000 BUX23.1%01.20.00×
A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond)other · Restricted1 in 20$88.00 146,608 BUX17.0%11.50.67×
Small Nugget (Gold)other · Restricted1 in 17$47.00 78,302 BUX10.9%21.81.11×
Bar Of Steel (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade1 in 11$41.48 69,100 BUX14.4%42.71.48×
Clarity Cube (Cobalt)other · Industrial Grade10.0%$29.00 48,314 BUX11.2%13.00.33×
Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade65.0%$5.32 8,856 BUX13.3%2119.51.08×
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from 500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$5.328,856 BUX0.18x
Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$5.328,856 BUX0.18x
Bar Of Steel (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$41.4869,100 BUX1.44x
Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$5.328,856 BUX0.18x
Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$5.328,856 BUX0.18x
Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$5.328,856 BUX0.18x
Clarity Cube (Cobalt)other · Industrial Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$29.0048,314 BUX1.01x
Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal)other · Consumer Grade$28.8348,039 BUX$5.328,856 BUX0.18x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 22:26 UTC$28.8390.00%7
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedMil Spec Grade 10.0%Consumer Grade 69.0%Restricted 11.0%Industrial Grade 10.0%best hit —