CurcialCase

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.55
4,243 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
59.18%
52 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
28 openings · below min
30 days
52 openings · below min
since tracking started
52 openings · below min
6.0%220.8%435.5%

Small sample. 52 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6220.73%±214.0—sample
7d2883.30%±65.1—sample
30d5259.18%±40.2—sample
All5259.18%±40.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$2.554,243 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.554,243 BUX$13.9223,190 BUX5.47x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$2.554,243 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$2.554,243 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —