10% Profitfarm

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.83
3,042 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
140.82%
140 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
16 openings · below min
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
140 openings · below min
since tracking started
140 openings · below min
28.0%252.0%476.0%

Small sample. 140 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16255.01%±220.5—sample
7d36142.95%±114.1—sample
30d140140.82%±55.7—sample
All140140.82%±55.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.833,042 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.05x
Sticker | kinqie (Gold) | Berlin 2019sticker · #EB4B4B$1.833,042 BUX$17.5629,254 BUX9.62x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.833,042 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.05x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.833,042 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.05x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.833,042 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.05x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$1.833,042 BUX$21.6936,135 BUX11.88x
M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$1.833,042 BUX$16.3827,289 BUX8.97x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —