Budget 10% Knife V2

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.77
17,936 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
121.86%
64 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
60 openings · below min
7 days
64 openings · below min
30 days
64 openings · below min
since tracking started
64 openings · below min
12.5%129.5%246.5%

Small sample. 64 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h60129.92%±115.9—sample
7d64121.86%±108.8—sample
30d64121.86%±108.8—sample
All64121.86%±108.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$10.7717,936 BUX$348579,884 BUX32.33x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Cru1cal | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$10.7717,936 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —