50% MEGA PROFIT AND KNIFE

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.80
4,663 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.13%
453 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
213 openings · below min
7 days
413 openings · below min
30 days
453 openings · below min
since tracking started
453 openings · below min
72.0%86.5%101.0%

Small sample. 453 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h21386.43%±13.7—sample
7d41385.29%±10.1—sample
30d45383.13%±9.45—sample
All45383.13%±9.45—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Bum A Smokesticker · High Grade$2.804,663 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2.804,663 BUX$4.727,863 BUX1.69x
Sticker | Bum A Smokesticker · High Grade$2.804,663 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x
AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$2.804,663 BUX$4.307,163 BUX1.54x
Sticker | Bum A Smokesticker · High Grade$2.804,663 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2.804,663 BUX$4.727,863 BUX1.69x
Sticker | Bum A Smokesticker · High Grade$2.804,663 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.04x
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2.804,663 BUX$4.727,863 BUX1.69x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —