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Privé Lounge Baccarat 1$2,2552.00xPlinko$1,2001.20xFree Bet Blackjack 8$1,3001.86xMines$180138.7xChronos - Sands of Eternity$674304.0xHiLo$2,1252.20xPlinko$2,3002.30xBlackjack$1,0132.00xPlinko$2,3002.30xCases$1,2081.97xCandy Dash 2$2,9105.81xMob Ross$1,34317.93xEmperor Baccarat$3,2302.00xPlinko$2,3002.30xWaylanders Forge$1,5323.83xPlinko$2,3002.30xPlinko$1,2001.20xPlinko$13.00130.0xPlinko$2,3002.30xPlinko$4,7004.70xGreek Roulette$3,0031.50xPlinko$4,7004.70xBlackjack$1,0132.00xMines$180138.7x

50% Time for Profit

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.02
5,025 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
139.81%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
42.5%181.3%320.0%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4181.25%±138.1—sample
7d12139.81%±61.3—sample
30d12139.81%±61.3—sample
All12139.81%±61.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$3.025,025 BUX$3.015,014 BUX1.00x
Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$3.025,025 BUX$0.741,232 BUX0.25x
Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$3.025,025 BUX$9.0615,093 BUX3.00x
Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Gradeuser-1e2e3e$3.025,025 BUX$9.0615,093 BUX3.00x
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$3.025,025 BUX$5.098,479 BUX1.69x
Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$3.025,025 BUX$0.741,232 BUX0.25x
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$3.025,025 BUX$5.098,479 BUX1.69x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedRonnie Dog Dog$3.025,025 BUX$3.015,014 BUX1.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$3.025,025 BUX$2.003,332 BUX0.66x
Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$3.025,025 BUX$0.741,232 BUX0.25x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —