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Knife Dream

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.87
9,772 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
118.04%
92 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
68 openings · below min
7 days
92 openings · below min
30 days
92 openings · below min
since tracking started
92 openings · below min
45.0%115.0%185.0%

Small sample. 92 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h68100.41%±54.8—sample
7d92118.04%±66.1—sample
30d92118.04%±66.1—sample
All92118.04%±66.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$5.879,772 BUX$0.57949 BUX0.10x
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$5.879,772 BUX$2.203,665 BUX0.38x
M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient$5.879,772 BUX$7.6012,661 BUX1.30x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedLevis$5.879,772 BUX$1.141,899 BUX0.19x
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$5.879,772 BUX$1.392,315 BUX0.24x
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)weapon · pink$5.879,772 BUX$1.252,082 BUX0.21x
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$5.879,772 BUX$0.57949 BUX0.10x
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkLevis$5.879,772 BUX$1.252,082 BUX0.21x
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)weapon · pink$5.879,772 BUX$1.252,082 BUX0.21x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$5.879,772 BUX$1.141,899 BUX0.19x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —