10% Big Win Case

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.21
5,354 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
60.49%
250 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
160 openings · below min
30 days
250 openings · below min
since tracking started
250 openings · below min
16.5%60.5%104.5%

Small sample. 250 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d16038.26%±20.9—sample
30d25060.49%±43.2—sample
All25060.49%±43.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.215,354 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $165 (51.27x)