25% Easy Profit

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.33
2,211 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
34.63%
4 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
4 openings · below min
30 days
4 openings · below min
since tracking started
4 openings · below min
26.5%34.5%42.5%

Small sample. 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h434.63%±7.38—sample
7d434.63%±7.38—sample
30d434.63%±7.38—sample
All434.63%±7.38—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Fart (Desert Amber)graffiti · Base Grade$1.332,211 BUX$0.31516 BUX0.23x
MP7 | Powercore (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff$1.332,211 BUX$0.51849 BUX0.38x
MP7 | Powercore (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff$1.332,211 BUX$0.51849 BUX0.38x
MP7 | Powercore (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ffShadow$1.332,211 BUX$0.51849 BUX0.38x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —