500 COVERT

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$7.04
11,730 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.27%
171 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
136 openings · below min
7 days
152 openings · below min
30 days
171 openings · below min
since tracking started
171 openings · below min
69.5%106.7%144.0%

Small sample. 171 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h136109.82%±33.4—sample
7d152102.33%±30.1—sample
30d17197.27%±27.1—sample
All17197.27%±27.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$7.0411,730 BUX$6.7911,312 BUX0.96x
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)weapon · red$7.0411,730 BUX$12.4220,691 BUX1.76x
MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)weapon · covertFlusie$7.0411,730 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.14x
M4A4 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · #eb4b4b$7.0411,730 BUX$11.1318,542 BUX1.58x
AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$7.0411,730 BUX$2.293,815 BUX0.33x
USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · red$7.0411,730 BUX$97.95163,184 BUX13.91x
AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$7.0411,730 BUX$2.293,815 BUX0.33x
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$7.0411,730 BUX$3.345,564 BUX0.47x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —