Jonahs 5% Knife

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.56
17,593 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.56%
19 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
19 openings · below min
30 days
19 openings · below min
since tracking started
19 openings · below min
-0.5%637.5%1275.5%

Small sample. 19 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4431.34%±843.6—sample
7d1991.56%±177.6—sample
30d1991.56%±177.6—sample
All1991.56%±177.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · sunny$10.5617,593 BUX$182303,045 BUX17.23x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$10.5617,593 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —