Case Battle

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.83
14,703 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.74%
10 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
10 openings · below min
30 days
10 openings · below min
since tracking started
10 openings · below min
65.5%97.8%130.0%

Small sample. 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1097.74%±31.6—sample
30d1097.74%±31.6—sample
All1097.74%±31.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$8.8314,703 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | G2 Esports (Foil) | Katowice 2019sticker · pink$8.8314,703 BUX$10.4817,459 BUX1.19x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$8.8314,703 BUX$11.0518,409 BUX1.25x
Sticker | Fnatic (Foil) | Cologne 2015sticker · Legendary$8.8314,703 BUX$10.5717,609 BUX1.20x
AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New)weapon · classified$8.8314,703 BUX$10.9418,226 BUX1.24x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$8.8314,703 BUX$11.0518,409 BUX1.25x
Special Agent Ava | FBIagent · master$8.8314,703 BUX$10.9218,192 BUX1.24x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —