30% USP

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.44
10,733 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
69.04%
135 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
107 openings · below min
7 days
123 openings · below min
30 days
135 openings · below min
since tracking started
135 openings · below min
35.0%65.0%95.0%

Small sample. 135 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10762.79%±27.1—sample
7d12368.80%±25.6—sample
30d13569.04%±23.8—sample
All13569.04%±23.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$13.1721,941 BUX2.04x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$6.4410,733 BUX$28.2547,064 BUX4.38x
USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$6.4410,733 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —