red profit

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.97
9,950 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
41.89%
16 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
16 openings · below min
30 days
16 openings · below min
since tracking started
16 openings · below min
12.5%41.8%71.0%

Small sample. 16 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1641.89%±28.6—sample
30d1641.89%±28.6—sample
All1641.89%±28.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Krakow 2017 Train Souvenir Packagecontainer · base$5.979,950 BUX$11.3118,842 BUX1.89x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x
Krakow 2017 Train Souvenir Packagecontainer · base$5.979,950 BUX$11.3118,842 BUX1.89x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$5.979,950 BUX$2.654,414 BUX0.44x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x
Patch | Chicken Loverpatch · Remarkable$5.979,950 BUX$1.011,682 BUX0.17x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —