pragmatic case

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.37
2,280 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
75.35%
8 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
8 openings · below min
30 days
8 openings · below min
since tracking started
8 openings · below min
19.0%75.5%132.0%

Small sample. 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d875.35%±55.8—sample
30d875.35%±55.8—sample
All875.35%±55.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.372,280 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.07x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.372,280 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.07x
Sticker | Heroic (Gold) | Paris 2023sticker · Ancient$1.372,280 BUX$1.602,665 BUX1.17x
Kilowatt Casecontainer · Caseadmatron$1.372,280 BUX$3.055,081 BUX2.23x
Sticker | Heroic (Gold) | Paris 2023sticker · Ancient$1.372,280 BUX$1.602,665 BUX1.17x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$1.372,280 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.07x
Sticker | Heroic (Gold) | Paris 2023sticker · Ancient$1.372,280 BUX$1.602,665 BUX1.17x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —