7% Knife Case
A case on 500 Casino, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$113.40
188,926 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.65%
20 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 20 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$113188,926 BUX$569947,854 BUX5.02x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$113188,926 BUX$32.7054,478 BUX0.29x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$113188,926 BUX$32.7054,478 BUX0.29x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedfazzxn$113188,926 BUX$32.9554,894 BUX0.29x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$113188,926 BUX$32.9554,894 BUX0.29x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$113188,926 BUX$569947,854 BUX5.02x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$113188,926 BUX$32.7054,478 BUX0.29x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertfazzxn$113188,926 BUX$128212,931 BUX1.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$113188,926 BUX$32.7054,478 BUX0.29x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$113188,926 BUX$32.9554,894 BUX0.29x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $569 (5.02x)