Nothing or Knife

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.68
16,122 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
323.63%
16 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
16 openings · below min
30 days
16 openings · below min
since tracking started
16 openings · below min
-0.5%477.0%954.5%

Small sample. 16 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h42.16%±0.00—sample
7d16323.63%±630.1—sample
30d16323.63%±630.1—sample
All16323.63%±630.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High GradeLevis$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Hotpotgraffiti · High Grade$9.6816,122 BUX$0.21349 BUX0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $498 (51.46x)