Knives - Stickers

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.23
28,710 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
78.38%
28 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
28 openings · below min
30 days
28 openings · below min
since tracking started
28 openings · below min
23.5%79.5%135.5%

Small sample. 28 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2479.46%±55.5—sample
7d2878.38%±50.6—sample
30d2878.38%±50.6—sample
All2878.38%±50.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Twistzz (Foil) | London 2018sticker · Mythical$17.2328,710 BUX$29.4849,113 BUX1.71x
Sticker | device (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · #D32CE6$17.2328,710 BUX$29.6349,363 BUX1.72x
MLG Columbus 2016 Challengers (Holo-Foil)other · Base Grade$17.2328,710 BUX$29.8649,746 BUX1.73x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High GradeLevis$17.2328,710 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | device (Gold) | Berlin 2019sticker · Ancient$17.2328,710 BUX$29.7449,546 BUX1.73x
★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert$17.2328,710 BUX$99.37165,550 BUX5.77x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$17.2328,710 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High GradeLevis$17.2328,710 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$17.2328,710 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x
Sticker | Please Return Tosticker · High Grade$17.2328,710 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —