Gambleking v3

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$124.58
207,555 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
202.81%
24 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
24 openings · below min
since tracking started
24 openings · below min
-0.5%240.5%481.5%

Small sample. 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h24202.81%±277.9—sample
7d24202.81%±277.9—sample
30d24202.81%±277.9—sample
All24202.81%±277.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$125207,555 BUX$4,2327,051,328 BUX33.97x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$125207,555 BUX$464772,424 BUX3.72x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$125207,555 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,232 (33.97x)