10% GutKnife

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$16.76
27,917 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.78%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
9 openings · below min
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
-0.5%111.8%224.0%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h992.68%±130.5—sample
7d1270.78%±98.9—sample
30d1270.78%±98.9—sample
All1270.78%±98.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Titan | Cologne 2014sticker · high$16.7627,917 BUX$33.9256,510 BUX2.02x
Perfect World Graffiti Boxgraffiti · #B0C3D9$16.7627,917 BUX$0.861,432 BUX0.05x
Sealed Graffiti | Fnatic | London 2018graffiti · #4B69FF$16.7627,917 BUX$0.851,416 BUX0.05x
Perfect World Graffiti Boxgraffiti · #B0C3D9$16.7627,917 BUX$0.861,432 BUX0.05x
Sealed Graffiti | Fnatic | London 2018graffiti · #4B69FF$16.7627,917 BUX$0.851,416 BUX0.05x
Perfect World Graffiti Boxgraffiti · #B0C3D9$16.7627,917 BUX$0.861,432 BUX0.05x
Perfect World Graffiti Boxgraffiti · #B0C3D9$16.7627,917 BUX$0.861,432 BUX0.05x
Sealed Graffiti | Fnatic | London 2018graffiti · #4B69FF$16.7627,917 BUX$0.851,416 BUX0.05x
★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$16.7627,917 BUX$99.86166,366 BUX5.96x
Perfect World Graffiti Boxgraffiti · #B0C3D9$16.7627,917 BUX$0.861,432 BUX0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —