Crypt Keeper
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$500.09
833,157 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $450.08 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.29%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary | 1 in 50 | $9,143 15,231,421 BUX | 40.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 12.0% | $1,056 1,759,395 BUX | 28.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted | 17.0% | $455 758,513 BUX | 17.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.47× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 18.5% | $175 292,283 BUX | 7.2% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.70× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 20.5% | $144 239,204 BUX | 6.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 30.0% | $4.06 6,763 BUX | 0.3% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$500833,157 BUX$1,0561,759,395 BUX2.11x
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $500 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 2.0%Covert 12.0%Restricted 17.0%covert 39.0%restricted 30.0%best hit $1,056 (2.11x)