Price
$162.66
270,993 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $146.39 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert | 1 in 20 | $439 731,490 BUX | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 13 | $355 591,646 BUX | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 12.0% | $247 411,285 BUX | 20.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $144 239,620 BUX | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $115 191,789 BUX | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Orion (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 20.0% | $73.61 122,634 BUX | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient | 25.0% | $51.37 85,582 BUX | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $163 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 5.0%extraordinary 20.0%covert 30.0%Classified 20.0%Ancient 25.0%