Imperial Authority
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$59.53
99,179 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $53.58 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.20%
548 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
39.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 548 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified | 1 in 1,000 | $1,227 2,044,115 BUX | 2.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 20 | $199 331,117 BUX | 18.2% | 28 | 26.9 | 1.04× |
| Nova | Baroque Orange (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted | 15.0% | $88.93 148,157 BUX | 24.9% | 68 | 82.2 | 0.83× |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 19.0% | $58.84 98,027 BUX | 20.9% | 101 | 104.1 | 0.97× |
| USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $44.71 74,486 BUX | 12.5% | 94 | 82.2 | 1.14× |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b | 20.0% | $30.78 51,279 BUX | 11.5% | 112 | 109.6 | 1.02× |
| StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 26.0% | $20.12 33,519 BUX | 9.8% | 145 | 142.5 | 1.02× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b$59.5399,179 BUX$30.7851,279 BUX0.52x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$59.5399,179 BUX$58.8498,027 BUX0.99x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedKronerkongen$59.5399,179 BUX$58.8498,027 BUX0.99x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$59.5399,179 BUX$20.1233,519 BUX0.34x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedKronerkongen$59.5399,179 BUX$58.8498,027 BUX0.99x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b$59.5399,179 BUX$30.7851,279 BUX0.52x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$59.5399,179 BUX$58.8498,027 BUX0.99x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $59.53 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 19.1%extraordinary 4.9%Restricted 15.0%industrial 15.0%#eb4b4b 20.0%classified 26.0%best hit —