Primordial Force
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$956.31
1,593,208 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $860.68 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
38.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary | 1 in 100 | $5,795 9,653,903 BUX | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $2,022 3,368,102 BUX | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 10.0% | $1,147 1,911,385 BUX | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic | 22.0% | $871 1,451,652 BUX | 22.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 22.0% | $790 1,316,373 BUX | 20.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 40.0% | $553 922,097 BUX | 25.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $956 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 1.0%covert 37.0%epic 22.0%rare 40.0%