Ancient Oracles
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.35
8,911 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $4.81 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
106.96%
189 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 205 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amulet (Aquamarine)other · Restricted | 1 in 33 | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 26.2% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.30× |
| Gold-sprinkled Gloveother · Industrial Grade | 1 in 14 | $17.50 29,155 BUX | 25.4% | 19 | 14.4 | 1.32× |
| Locket (Lapis Lazuli)other · Consumer Grade | 14.0% | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 14.5% | 38 | 28.7 | 1.32× |
| Memento (Moonstone)other · Consumer Grade | 16.0% | $4.50 7,497 BUX | 15.0% | 36 | 32.8 | 1.10× |
| Bracelet (Brass)other · Industrial Grade | 19.0% | $2.50 4,165 BUX | 9.9% | 23 | 39.0 | 0.59× |
| Pocket-Perfect Palladium-ish Pen (Palladium)other · Consumer Grade | 20.0% | $1.75 2,916 BUX | 7.3% | 44 | 41.0 | 1.07× |
| Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade | 21.0% | $0.40 666 BUX | 1.7% | 37 | 43.0 | 0.86× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $5.35 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedRestricted 3.0%Industrial Grade 26.0%Consumer Grade 71.0%best hit —