Arcane Brews
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$720.69
1,200,664 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $648.62 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.22%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Stone of Amethyst (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 40 | $3,435 5,723,425 BUX | 13.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Precious Stone of Topaz (Quartz)other · Covert | 1 in 22 | $2,504 4,171,892 BUX | 17.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Precious Stone of Emerald (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 12 | $1,111 1,850,475 BUX | 14.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Precious Stone of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 15.0% | $764 1,272,000 BUX | 17.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Precious Stone of Citrine (Quartz)other · Classified | 15.5% | $394 657,000 BUX | 9.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Ruby-Infused Wine Gobletother · Covert | 17.0% | $350 583,100 BUX | 9.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| Precious Stone of Sapphire (Gemstone)other · Classified | 37.0% | $326 542,500 BUX | 18.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Precious Stone of Sapphire (Gemstone)other · ClassifiedPaper Bag$7211,200,664 BUX$326542,500 BUX0.45x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $721 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 47.5%Classified 52.5%best hit $764 (1.06x)