Clockwork Continuum
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.67
1,113 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.01%
EV $0.60 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.95%
1,345 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,377 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artifact (Aluminum)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 33 | $2.55 4,248 BUX | 12.7% | 60 | 41.3 | 1.45× |
| Knot (Nickel)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 18 | $2.10 3,499 BUX | 19.2% | 79 | 75.7 | 1.04× |
| Lead Liningother · Consumer Grade | 10.5% | $1.80 2,999 BUX | 31.4% | 134 | 144.6 | 0.93× |
| Locket (Zinc)other · Consumer Grade | 15.5% | $0.60 1,000 BUX | 15.5% | 196 | 213.4 | 0.92× |
| Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade | 17.0% | $0.40 666 BUX | 11.3% | 246 | 234.1 | 1.05× |
| Tinfoil Top Hatother · Consumer Grade | 21.5% | $0.15 250 BUX | 5.4% | 288 | 296.1 | 0.97× |
| Steel Studother · Consumer Grade | 27.0% | $0.10 167 BUX | 4.5% | 374 | 371.8 | 1.01× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $0.67 | 90.01% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedIndustrial Grade 3.0%Mil Spec Grade 5.5%Consumer Grade 91.5%best hit —