Elixir Vault
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$750.88
1,250,969 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $675.79 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.55%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earring (Emerald)other · Restricted | 1 in 1,000 | $25K 41,650,000 BUX | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Totem (Tourmaline)other · Restricted | 1 in 333 | $10K 16,660,000 BUX | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Fountain of Fortune (Fluorite)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 31 | $2,700 4,498,200 BUX | 13.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Magic Wand (Uranium)other · Covert | 1 in 19 | $1,600 2,665,600 BUX | 12.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Jewel of Jotunheim (Jade)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 11 | $850 1,416,100 BUX | 11.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Ruby-Encrusted Daggerother · Exceedingly Rare | 13.5% | $770 1,282,820 BUX | 15.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Prism (Adamantium)other · Covert | 15.0% | $720 1,200,000 BUX | 16.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Ruby-Infused Wine Gobletother · Covert | 25.0% | $350 583,100 BUX | 12.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 28.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 9.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $751 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedRestricted 0.4%Exceedingly Rare 26.3%Covert 73.3%best hit $1,600 (2.13x)