Divine Decrees
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.44
732 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $0.40 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.95%
1,643 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,693 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locket (Lapis Lazuli)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 50 | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 25.3% | 33 | 33.9 | 0.97× |
| Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade | 10.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 27.8% | 186 | 169.3 | 1.10× |
| Almost Amber Anklet (Amber)other · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $0.45 750 BUX | 17.1% | 224 | 253.9 | 0.88× |
| Brass Beadother · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $0.30 500 BUX | 11.4% | 275 | 253.9 | 1.08× |
| Copper Coinother · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $0.20 333 BUX | 7.6% | 263 | 253.9 | 1.04× |
| Diamond-shaped Ice Cubeother · Consumer Grade | 23.0% | $0.10 167 BUX | 5.8% | 396 | 389.4 | 1.02× |
| Picture of a bar of gold (Gold)other · Consumer Grade | 20.0% | $0.10 167 BUX | 5.1% | 316 | 338.6 | 0.93× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $0.44 | 90.05% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedConsumer Grade 75.0%Industrial Grade 25.0%best hit —