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Regal Majesty

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.46
4,104 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $2.22 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.97%
692 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
96 openings · below min
7 days
72.70%±12.33434 openings
30 days
83.97%±9.76692 openings
since tracking started
83.97%±9.76692 openings
40.0%67.3%94.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9666.72%±26.2—odds
7d43472.70%±12.3−2.7σodds
30d69283.97%±9.76−1.2σodds
All69283.97%±9.76−1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 744 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Bar Of Gold (Metal)other · Classified1 in 100$21.02 35,013 BUX9.5%57.40.67×
Golden Garnet Grailother · Industrial Grade1 in 20$12.00 19,992 BUX27.1%3637.20.97×
Locket (Lapis Lazuli)other · Consumer Grade10.0%$5.00 8,330 BUX22.6%6674.40.89×
Amber Amuletother · Consumer Grade15.0%$1.90 3,165 BUX12.9%115111.61.03×
Medallion (Manganese)other · Consumer Grade16.0%$1.50 2,499 BUX10.8%105119.00.88×
Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade17.0%$1.10 1,833 BUX8.4%132126.51.04×
Moonstone Marbleother · Consumer Grade17.0%$0.70 1,166 BUX5.4%120126.50.95×
Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade19.0%$0.40 666 BUX3.4%165141.41.17×
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from 500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade$2.464,104 BUX$0.40666 BUX0.16x
Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade$2.464,104 BUX$0.40666 BUX0.16x
Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade$2.464,104 BUX$1.101,833 BUX0.45x
Amber Amuletother · Consumer GradeHALAMADRID$2.464,104 BUX$1.903,165 BUX0.77x
Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade$2.464,104 BUX$1.101,833 BUX0.45x
Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade$2.464,104 BUX$1.101,833 BUX0.45x
Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade$2.464,104 BUX$0.40666 BUX0.16x
Moonstone Marbleother · Consumer GradeHALAMADRID$2.464,104 BUX$0.701,166 BUX0.28x
Crystal (Quartz)other · Consumer Grade$2.464,104 BUX$0.40666 BUX0.16x
Moonstone Marbleother · Consumer Grade$2.464,104 BUX$0.701,166 BUX0.28x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 22:26 UTC$2.4690.00%8
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedClassified 1.0%Industrial Grade 22.0%Consumer Grade 77.0%best hit —