Stellar Saga
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$395.17
658,348 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $355.65 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
51.24%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal From An Alien Planet (Lithium)other · Special | 1 in 100 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor)other · Special | 1 in 14 | $1,000 1,666,000 BUX | 19.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Astral Amulet (Alexandrite)other · Restricted | 17.0% | $450 749,700 BUX | 21.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Lunar Locket (Lapis Lazuli)other · Mil Spec Grade | 21.0% | $375 624,750 BUX | 22.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Oracle Orb (Obsidian)other · Restricted | 25.0% | $165 274,890 BUX | 11.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire)other · Mil Spec Grade | 29.0% | $135 224,910 BUX | 11.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.72× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $395 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 8.0%Restricted 42.0%Mil Spec Grade 50.0%best hit —