Temporal Trek
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$415.75
692,643 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $374.18 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.98%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
44.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suspect's Gold Watch (Gold)other · Special | 1 in 10,000 | $50K 83,300,000 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Fountain of Fortune (Fluorite)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 100 | $2,700 4,498,200 BUX | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli)other · Restricted | 20.0% | $537 894,642 BUX | 28.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| Astral Amulet (Alexandrite)other · Restricted | 23.0% | $450 749,700 BUX | 27.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 25.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 16.0% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.00× |
| Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium)other · Restricted | 31.0% | $230 383,180 BUX | 19.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $416 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.0%Exceedingly Rare 1.0%Restricted 74.0%Covert 25.0%best hit $537 (1.29x)