IF IT WAS SO EASY EVERYONE WOULD BE DOING IT

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.57
7,614 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
72.40%
911 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
32 openings · below min
7 days
911 openings · below min
30 days
911 openings · below min
since tracking started
911 openings · below min
0.5%56.3%112.0%

Small sample. 911 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3256.19%±55.2—sample
7d91172.40%±19.0—sample
30d91172.40%±19.0—sample
All91172.40%±19.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Vent Rush (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$4.577,614 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.08x
Sticker | Try Hard (Holo)sticker · restricted$4.577,614 BUX$0.18299 BUX0.04x
P90 | Teardown (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$4.577,614 BUX$0.31516 BUX0.07x
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$4.577,614 BUX$9.4315,710 BUX2.06x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$4.577,614 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.02x
P90 | Teardown (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$4.577,614 BUX$0.31516 BUX0.07x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —