BestLowPercentTicket

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.97
6,615 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
1822.23%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
-0.5%2648.5%5297.5%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d121822.23%±3474.5—sample
30d121822.23%±3474.5—sample
All121822.23%±3474.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Volt | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | Volt | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$3.976,615 BUX$6.9611,595 BUX1.75x
Sticker | Bum A Smokesticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Sticker | AKickflip-47sticker · High Grade$3.976,615 BUX$0.10167 BUX0.03x
Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$3.976,615 BUX$6.9611,595 BUX1.75x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $847 (213.2x)