5% Lottery Richness

A case on 500 Casino, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price
$26.78
44,616 BUX
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
45.74%
236 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
236 openings · below min
30 days
236 openings · below min
since tracking started
236 openings · below min
10.0%45.7%81.5%

Small sample. 236 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d23645.74%±35.0—sample
30d23645.74%±35.0—sample
All23645.74%±35.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalog500 Casino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$26.7844,616 BUX$9981,661,918 BUX37.25x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | shroud (Foil) | Krakow 2017sticker · Mythical$26.7844,616 BUX$49.4382,350 BUX1.85x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rarethidaoo$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x
Sticker | shroud (Foil) | Krakow 2017sticker · Mythical$26.7844,616 BUX$49.4382,350 BUX1.85x
Sticker | PGL | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$26.7844,616 BUX$1.001,666 BUX0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $998 (37.25x)