Butterfly Case

A case on Bloodycase (Random Weapon cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

Price

$555.00

Advertised RTP

—

no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d

42.58%

21 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

1 openings · below min

30 days

21 openings · below min

since tracking started

21 openings · below min

9.0%36.3%63.5%

Small sample. 21 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	1	9.71%±0.00	—	sample
30d	21	42.58%±20.0	—	sample
All	21	42.58%±20.0	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No odds publishedBloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems, 11 Nov, 08:04 UTC.