The Train Collection Case

A case on Bloodycase (Collections cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Bloodycase's own item price.

Price

$0.25

Advertised RTP

—

no odds published

Observed RTP, 30d

72.76%

1,189 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

49 openings · below min

7 days

73.09%±5.191,149 openings

30 days

72.76%±5.101,189 openings

since tracking started

72.76%±5.101,189 openings

31.5%55.3%79.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	49	47.27%±15.1	—	sample
7d	1,149	73.09%±5.19	—	sample
30d	1,189	72.76%±5.10	—	sample
All	1,189	72.76%±5.10	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No odds publishedBloodycase lists this case with prices and contents but no item odds, so there is no advertised RTP and the band comes from the sample alone.

Values are Bloodycase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from bloodycase:CasePublicServiceGetCasesWithItems, 11 Nov, 14:04 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · #777777Jimmu | Bloodycase.com$0.25$0.040.16x23m

UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · consumerLΣCHUGΛツ$0.25$0.813.24x23m

Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · #B0C3D9zula$0.25$0.070.28x23m

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon| Bloodycase.com$0.25$0.150.60x42m

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5E98D9Жмишенко | Bloodycase.co$0.25$0.150.60x44m

P90 | Ash Wood (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialЖмишенко | Bloodycase.co$0.25$0.100.40x44m

P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialЖмишенко | Bloodycase.co$0.25$0.190.76x44m

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5E98D9Zelenka$0.25$0.150.60x2h

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerANKA | Bloodycase.com$0.25$0.050.20x3h

UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · #7777776 Claim Bot.$0.25$0.040.16x3h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC	$0.25	—	0

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —