BANG BANG JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$162.35
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $142.06 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.69%
287 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 288 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/bang-bang-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $162 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $162 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $162 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $162 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $164 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $163 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $164 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $164 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $164 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $164 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $165 | 87.50% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 35.0%sunny 5.0%red 5.0%classified 6.0%Legendary 3.0%#d32ee6 2.5%pink 13.5%Mythical 2.5%uncommon 1.3%violet 1.3%Rare 8.0%blue 9.0%#4b69ff 2.0%milspec 1.0%Uncommon 2.0%blueLight 2.0%#5e98d9 1.0%best hit $856 (5.19x)