BERKAY JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$139.99
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $122.49 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.31%
192 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 220 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 12 | $321 | 21.8% | 0 | 18.3 | 0.00× |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 12 | $280 | 19.1% | 0 | 18.3 | 0.00× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 12 | $274 | 18.6% | 0 | 18.3 | 0.00× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 12 | $217 | 14.7% | 0 | 18.3 | 0.00× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 12 | $204 | 13.9% | 0 | 18.3 | 0.00× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 12 | $97.58 | 6.6% | 0 | 18.3 | 0.00× |
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 16.7% | $38.37 | 5.2% | 37 | 36.7 | 1.01× |
| USP-S | PC-GRN (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare | 16.7% | $0.24 | 0.0% | 32 | 36.7 | 0.87× |
| M249 | Sage Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 16.7% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 31 | 36.7 | 0.85× |
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/berkay-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $140 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $140 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 66.7%Rare 16.7%#b0c3d9 16.7%best hit —